Without such faith we would no longer put any faith in those long-term government predictions which we read all the time?

Please try againSorry, we failed to record your vote. Counteract your own bias and blindspots by reading this and giving serendipity a chance! Reviewed in the United Kingdom on February 13, 2014 So I abandoned at half way. Nonetheless, Taleb exudes personality on every page - like a punk-rock statistician of sorts - and the book is surprisingly easy to read even during the numerous instances where the "get to the point" vibe sets in. But he appears to know his stuff.

The Black Swan pas cher : retrouvez tous les produits disponibles à l'achat dans notre catégorie livre langue etrangere En utilisant Rakuten, vous acceptez l'utilisation des cookies permettant de vous proposer des contenus personnalisés et de réaliser des statistiques. ), the book is a great perspective-changing exercise for anyone looking outside the box. Looking for a compelling narrative and eye-opening examples, what does this book offer?

Veuillez vérifier votre panier. Il est publié le 17 avril 2007 par Random House. It doesn't mean you need to be a hedge fund manager (I'm not!
Please try againSorry, we failed to record your vote. Profitez et détendez-vous lire Journey Man Knights Of Black Swan 9 livres complets "Passez un peu de temps maintenant gratuitement Registre et vous pourriez bénéficier plus tard. The black swan itself is a great metaphor for the kind of disaster that sends us all sideways or puts us out of existence. Vous pouvoir télécharger ceci ebook,je équiper de la part de transfert des programmes à rar et zip. From page one to page 93 when I eventually gave up, a very frustrating read which left me angry over my waste of time with this pulp. Un programme de fidélité qui vous récompense pour votre amour de la lecture.Parcourez les livres que vous pouvez vous procurer avec des points.Votre panier ne contient actuellement aucun article.Écoutez votre livre audio sur des téléphones et tablettes Apple (iOS) ou Android. Les membres Amazon Prime bénéficient de livraisons gratuites illimitées toute l'année. While there are a few good ideas in the book, it could have easily been cut to a third of its size without losing anything of value. In this groundbreaking and prophetic book, Taleb shows in a playful way that Black Swan events explain almost everything about our world, and yet we—especially the experts—are blind to them. It doesn't mean you need to be a hedge fund manager (I'm not!

So why is this a dissappointing read? Vos articles vus récemment et vos recommandations en vedette It's the continuous introduction of non-convincing concepts like "Mediocristan" and "Extremistan", concepts that try very hard to resemble statistical models, an attempt that fails horribly as they are outlandishly disconnected from reality. This book has changed my thinking on a number of topics (and ruined my undergraduate degree in Economics for me). Le livre mêle habilement philosophie, finance et réflexions personnelles et l’auteur a créé une petite polémique. Taleb goes on to explain how we humans like to convince ourselves that we can predict risk and manage it.

Retrouvez 499 produits Livres en VO Black Swan au meilleur prix à la FNAC. The Black Swan: Second Edition: The Impact of the Highly Improbable: With a new section: "On Robustness and Fragility". I read this book because it was mentioned by Daniel Kahneman in 'Thinking fast and slow'.
I simply love it. Would not recommend. Taleb wishes to challenge readers into, "having the guts to admit, they just don`t know". The black swan itself is a great metaphor for the kind of disaster that sends us all sideways or puts us out of existence.